Eliminating Public Knowledge Biases in Small Group Predictions
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Eliminating Public Knowledge Biases in Information-Aggregation Mechanisms
We present a novel methodology for identifying public knowledge and eliminating the biases it creates when aggregating information in small group settings. A two-stage mechanism consisting of an information market and a coordination game is used to reveal and adjust for individuals’ public information. A nonlinear aggregation of their decisions then allows for the calculation of the probability...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: SSRN Electronic Journal
سال: 2002
ISSN: 1556-5068
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.311139